Bitcoin price on June 13?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bitcoin's noon ET closing price on 13 June 2026 will be determined by the 1-minute candle snapshot on Binance's BTC/USDT pair at that precise moment. The settlement mechanism relies on automated data retrieval from Binance's public candle API, making this market suitable for conditional order automation or bot-driven execution. Traders using copy-trading platforms or algorithmic execution tools will find the noon ET timestamp straightforward to programme, though liquidity spikes around major news releases can create volatility that distorts single-candle readings.

Historical Bitcoin price brackets show that intraday volatility of 2–5% is routine, meaning the difference between adjacent resolution brackets often hinges on whether a news cycle or institutional trade executes before or after the settlement window. The 0% implied probability suggests the market has not yet crystallised around any specific price range, typical for markets settling 18+ months forward where long-dated Bitcoin forecasts remain highly dispersed. Comparable markets on similar assets show that as settlement approaches, probability mass concentrates sharply once macro catalysts (Federal Reserve policy, spot ETF flows, or regulatory announcements) become clearer.

Traders should monitor macroeconomic calendars and Bitcoin-specific events through mid-2026, particularly any shifts in US monetary policy or major cryptocurrency regulation that could reshape price expectations. Recent volatility has been driven by ETF inflows and geopolitical risk premiums; these dynamics will likely persist as inputs to longer-dated price discovery. For programmatic traders, setting conditional alerts tied to Binance's API data feed 24 hours before settlement will help capture final positioning moves without relying on manual intervention.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?

Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.