Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

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Active sub-markets

Market context

This market tracks the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket quarterfinal 1 match between 9INE and GamerLegion in the Super DraculaN Group A, scheduled for 11:00 AM ET on 24 June 2026. The crowd-implied probability of 9INE winning sits at 0%, reflecting a stark historical disadvantage against their opponent in recent CS2 encounters.

Historical data frames this near-zero probability with brutal clarity. In their most recent meeting at Stake Ranked Episode 1, GamerLegion secured a decisive 2-0 victory over 9INE, winning on Ancient (13-6) and Inferno (13-7) before 9INE dropped to the Lower Bracket[1]. Their overall head-to-head record in CS2 shows a current streak of four consecutive losses for 9INE, with both teams winning only one match in their last five encounters[2]. When ranked previously, GamerLegion held world rank 22 against 9INE’s rank 47, a significant gap that often dictates match outcomes in high-stakes tournaments[4]. Programmatically, a trader would weight these four straight losses and the map-score disparity as primary inputs for a conditional order, treating the 0% price as a statistically sound reflection of form rather than market inefficiency.

Traders must monitor the live settlement window ending 2026-06-25 for any match cancellations or delays beyond seven days, which would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Key catalysts include the official tournament feed for Super DraculaN Season 1, where any unexpected roster changes or technical delays could alter the pre-match probability[7]. While no specific recent news article breaks new ground on team form, the live score portal on GosuGamers confirms the match is active and scheduled as planned, meaning the 0% probability remains anchored to the established historical trend rather than emerging volatility[7]. A utility-focused bot would set a stop-loss on the 9INE position immediately, as the historical data suggests no immediate catalyst exists to reverse the four-match losing streak.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?

Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.