Bitcoin price on June 20?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bitcoin’s noon ET print is a single-candle settlement, so the practical task is to track Binance’s **1-minute BTC/USDT close** exactly at 12:00 ET rather than broader intraday sentiment. Binance’s spot market was showing BTC around **$63.3k** at the time of the latest snapshot, with a 24-hour range of roughly **$62.9k to $63.9k**, which means the market can move through several bracket levels on ordinary volatility alone.[4][10]

For framing, the current **0% YES** crowd price is best read as a stale or completed signal rather than a live probability, because the market’s settlement window has already passed today’s noon ET cutoff and the underlying noon candle is fixed for this date.[1][5] In comparable BTC timestamp markets, the decisive variable is often not the headline trend but the exact final print at the designated minute, where even a narrow wick can flip the outcome if the close lands on the other side of a bracket.[1][5] For programmatic monitoring, that means polling Binance’s kline feed or chart data around the settlement minute and comparing the final close, not the last trade.

A trader watching the next instance of this setup would focus on scheduled macro catalysts that can move BTC into the window: US economic releases, Fed speakers, ETF flow headlines, and any exchange- or stablecoin-related developments that alter liquidity. Bitcoin’s spot price is also sensitive to broad risk appetite and derivatives positioning, so bot logic is usually built around event calendars, volatility filters, and pre-set conditional orders rather than discretionary entry once the noon print is close.[4][10]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?

Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.