What price will Ethereum hit on June 13?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Ethereum's price on 13 June 2026 remains unspecified in this market, leaving traders to define their own strike levels or price bands. The settlement window closes 14 June 2026, creating a narrow observation period that rewards precise timing and automated monitoring. For power-users, this structure suits conditional order logic: setting price alerts tied to specific exchange feeds (Coinbase, Kraken, Binance) and executing hedges or entries only when Ethereum breaches predetermined thresholds during that 24-hour window.

Historical volatility in Ethereum's daily price action shows swings of 5–15% are routine during periods of macro uncertainty or protocol-related announcements. The 0% crowd probability suggests either extreme scepticism about a particular price target or insufficient liquidity to establish a baseline. Comparable markets on single-day price movements typically see resolution concentrated around major events—network upgrades, regulatory filings, or macroeconomic data releases—rather than arbitrary dates. Without a specified price level, traders should treat this as a framework for testing execution infrastructure rather than a directional bet.

Catalysts between now and mid-June 2026 include any scheduled Ethereum Foundation announcements, US Federal Reserve policy signals, and spot ETF flows. Recent reporting from CoinDesk and The Block has highlighted how institutional inflows into crypto products correlate with intraday volatility spikes. Traders using bots or copy-trading should configure price-feed redundancy and ensure settlement verification against multiple sources, as single-exchange data gaps have historically caused disputes on time-sensitive crypto markets.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.