What price will Bitcoin hit on June 8?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bitcoin's price on 8 June 2026 remains unspecified in the market terms, meaning traders are effectively pricing the probability that BTC will reach *some* predetermined threshold on that exact date. The 0% crowd probability suggests either the threshold is extremely high relative to current spot price, or the settlement window's specificity—ending just hours after the target date—has deterred participation. For algorithmic traders, this represents a liquidity gap: conditional orders tied to date-specific price targets require precise trigger logic, and the narrow settlement window (04:00 UTC on 9 June) leaves minimal margin for order execution or price confirmation across major exchanges.

Historical Bitcoin price movements show single-day swings of 5–15% are routine during volatile periods, whilst sustained moves beyond 20% in 24 hours occur primarily around major macroeconomic announcements or regulatory news. June 2026 has no scheduled Federal Reserve decision or significant crypto-specific regulatory deadline currently flagged in public calendars, reducing the likelihood of the kind of catalyst that typically drives outsized daily moves. Traders monitoring this market should watch for unexpected geopolitical events, central bank communications, or spot exchange-traded fund flows in the weeks prior.

For programmatic approaches, the challenge lies in defining entry and exit logic around an undefined price target. Bots would need to either scrape the market description for additional terms or rely on implied volatility models to estimate the threshold. The zero probability may simply reflect that most quantitative traders have moved capital to markets with clearer settlement criteria and wider execution windows.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?

Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.