Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

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Market context

This market tracks the Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 Counter-Strike match between AM Gaming and Eternal Fire in the Super DraculaN Group A, scheduled for 24 June at 12:00 UTC. The event is a direct contest where the winner is determined by match victory, with AM Gaming resolving the market to "YES" if they win.

Historically, head-to-head data frames the current 100% probability as grounded rather than speculative. AM Gaming and Eternal Fire have met once previously, with AM Gaming securing the sole victory and Eternal Fire winning zero times [1]. While Eternal Fire holds a respectable 58% overall match win rate across their career [4], their recent five-match sample shows a 40% win rate, suggesting volatility that contrasts with AM Gaming's clean record against them [3]. For a power-user building conditional order bots, this single prior victory acts as a hard filter, making the 100% price a logical utility of the historical dependency rather than a market anomaly.

Traders must monitor the live status of the match start and any potential cancellation clauses, as the market resolves to 50-50 if the event is not played or delayed beyond seven days [2]. The primary catalyst is the confirmation of the 18:00 UTC start time on Sofascore, which dictates the execution window for automated copy-trading strategies [2]. Recent team performance logs indicate Eternal Fire's lineup remains active, but any sudden roster changes or match postponements would invalidate the current pricing immediately [3]. Programmatic approaches should treat the 100% price as a binary outcome dependent on the match commencing, requiring real-time API feeds to trigger exit orders if the start time shifts.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket App UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.