Counter-Strike: Infinite vs FOKUS (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group B

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is a Counter-Strike 2 lower-bracket semifinal match between Infinite and FOKUS, scheduled for 25 June 2026 at 02:00 UTC in Group B of the Digital Crusade Super DraculaN Season 1 tournament [1][3]. This market resolves to "Infinite" if they win, "FOKUS" if they win, and 50-50 if the match is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner [2].

Historically, crowd-implied probabilities near 0% in CS2 lower-bracket matches often signal a severe mismatch in recent form or roster stability, as seen when top-tier teams face unranked qualifiers in early-season tournaments [3][5]. In such cases, conditional order bots typically ignore the market unless a sudden roster change or schedule delay is announced, because the settlement risk outweighs the marginal edge [4]. Traders evaluating this programmatically should monitor for API-triggered alerts on match status changes, as delays beyond the seven-day window automatically reset the probability to 50-50, creating a binary settlement event [2].

Key catalysts include official tournament announcements on match cancellations or roster swaps, which can be tracked via the GosuGamers tournament feed for Super DraculaN Season 1 [3]. A recent update from Sofascore confirms the match start time but notes no live score yet, indicating the event is pending [5]. Traders should also watch for Bitget Wallet’s live odds shifts, which often reflect real-time sentiment before official results are posted [4]. Any delay beyond the seven-day threshold, as defined in the market rules, will trigger the 50-50 settlement, making schedule dependencies critical for conditional order execution [2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Infinite vs FOKUS (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group B on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.