Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket App UK Pick polygram.ink |
24% | 76% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
24% | 76% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket App UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 24% M80 | 77% Legacy |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 41% Over | 60% Under |
| Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) | 48% Legacy | 53% M80 |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5) | 48% Legacy | 52% M80 |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 47% Over | 54% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5) | 63% Legacy | 37% M80 |
Market context
M80 and Legacy will compete in Round 4 of the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Counter-Strike tournament on 8 June at 13:00 ET. The match is a best-of-three format within a major tournament structure where seeding and bracket position carry material weight. M80, a North American roster, faces Legacy, a Brazilian team, in what amounts to an elimination or advancement scenario depending on prior results in the stage.
The 24% implied probability for M80 victory reflects a significant underdog positioning. Comparable major tournament matchups between established North American squads and top Brazilian rosters have historically favoured the latter when Legacy or similar organisations field their primary lineups; however, M80's recent LAN performances and roster stability warrant scrutiny against outdated priors. Tournament-specific factors—map pool compatibility, recent scrim results, and player form across the preceding 48 hours—shift these odds materially. Traders monitoring conditional orders should flag any roster changes or stand-in announcements, which ESL typically publishes via their official channels or HLTV within 24 hours of match time.
Schedule dependencies matter operationally: the settlement window closes 23:00 UTC on 8 June, allowing approximately ten hours post-match for result confirmation. Delays beyond seven days trigger a 50-50 resolution. For programmatic approaches, integrating HLTV API feeds or ESL's official match status endpoints provides real-time updates on start times, map selections, and live scoring—critical inputs for conditional order logic or copy-trading strategies that react to in-match momentum shifts.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket App UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?
- Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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