Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Counter-Strike 2 lower bracket final between Sashi Esport and Inner Circle Esports in the Super DraculaN Group A, which concluded on 25 June with Inner Circle securing a 2–1 victory. This match was initially scheduled for 2:00 PM ET on that date, and the result has been verified across multiple platforms including HLTV and Gamers World[2]. For a power-user evaluating conditional order tools, the market’s 0% crowd-implied probability for Sashi winning reflects the settled outcome, making it a clear case for post-event utility rather than live trading.

Historically, similar lower bracket finals in CS2 tournaments have shown that teams entering from the lower bracket often overcome initial deficits, yet Inner Circle’s 2–1 win here aligns with patterns where the higher-ranked side maintains momentum after a narrow first-map loss[1]. In programmatically framed approaches, traders would have monitored map-by-map odds shifts; for instance, Sashi won Map 1 but lost the subsequent two, a sequence that would have triggered stop-loss conditions in algorithmic systems. Comparable cases from the 2025 Super DraculaN season show that lower bracket teams win roughly 38% of BO3s, but Inner Circle’s performance exceeded this baseline[3].

Key catalysts for future matches in this tournament include the group stage schedule updates and roster dependency announcements, which often influence pre-match odds. A recent GosuGamers report confirmed that Inner Circle’s roster stability contributed to their consistent map control in the final[6]. Traders using copy-trading bots should watch for Liquipedia bracket updates, as these often precede odds adjustments in prediction markets[3]. With the settlement window ending 2026-06-26T02:00:00Z, the market is now a utility tool for verifying historical data rather than a live instrument.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?

Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.