Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket App UK Pick polygram.ink |
44% | 56% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
44% | 56% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket App UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 44% TYLOO | 56% 9z |
| Map 2 Winner | 48% TYLOO | 53% 9z |
| Match Winner | 45% TYLOO | 56% 9z |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% Over | 52% Under |
| Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) | 29% 9z | 71% TYLOO |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% Over | 52% Under |
Market context
TYLOO, the Chinese organisation, face 9z, the Argentine squad, in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 on 8 June 2026. The fixture forms part of the tournament's second stage, where teams compete for advancement and prize pool distribution. Settlement occurs at 20:30 UTC, with the market resolving based on final match outcome or, if the match is cancelled or extends beyond seven days without resolution, a 50-50 split.
The 44% implied probability for TYLOO reflects their recent inconsistency against mid-tier South American opposition. Historically, Chinese teams have struggled with consistency at European majors, particularly when facing unfamiliar regional opponents. 9z's record against Asian squads shows marginal advantages in online environments but weaker LAN performance. Comparable fixtures from prior majors—such as TYLOO's encounters with Brazilian teams at similar stages—have favoured the Asian side roughly 55–60% of the time, suggesting the current odds undervalue TYLOO's structural advantages.
Traders should monitor official IEM scheduling updates and any roster changes announced before the settlement window closes. TYLOO's recent bootcamp location and scrim results against European teams will indicate preparation depth. 9z's travel logistics to Cologne and any last-minute substitutions warrant tracking through HLTV and team social channels. Conditional order logic should account for the seven-day delay clause: if the match is postponed beyond 15 June without completion, the market resolves 50-50 regardless of partial results, creating a discrete risk threshold for position management.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket App UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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