Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket App UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket App UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 0% TYLOO | 100% Sharks |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% TYLOO | 0% Sharks |
| Match Winner | 52% TYLOO | 49% Sharks |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5) | 0% TYLOO | 100% Sharks |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
TYLOO, the Chinese esports organisation, face Sharks in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match during the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 group phase on 4 June 2026. The fixture is scheduled for 08:00 ET and represents a critical early-stage encounter in one of the year's premier international tournaments. Both teams enter the event with roster stability following the spring competitive window, though their recent LAN performances and map pool compatibility will determine the outcome.
Historical precedent suggests that 0% crowd probability at settlement window opening typically reflects either missing fixture data or extreme uncertainty about team availability. In major tournament contexts, such markets frequently shift sharply once official bracket confirmations arrive or team participation is formally announced. TYLOO's historical performance against Southeast Asian opposition like Sharks shows competitive variance; neither side commands a decisive head-to-head record that would justify extreme probability skew. Recent IEM events have seen Chinese regional representatives perform inconsistently against emerging competition, making this a genuine two-way contest rather than a heavily favoured matchup.
Traders should monitor ESL's official IEM Cologne schedule updates and any roster changes announced by either organisation in the week preceding 4 June. Visa complications, illness, or last-minute stand-in requirements have historically affected Chinese team participation in European tournaments. Conditional order logic should account for the 7-day delay clause; if the match is postponed beyond 11 June without completion, the market resolves 50-50 regardless of eventual outcome. Track both teams' scrim results and public practice schedules as secondary indicators of preparation depth.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?
- Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne … on Polymarket App UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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