Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket App UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket App UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) | 0% Walczaki | 100% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-6.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+6.5) | 0% Walczaki | 100% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% Walczaki | 100% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% Walczaki | 100% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-6.5) vs Walczaki (+6.5) | 100% Inner Circle Esports | 0% Walczaki |
Market context
This market tracks the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Walczaki and Inner Circle Esports in the Super DraculaN Playoffs, scheduled for 11:00 AM ET on 26 June 2026. The event is part of the $150,000 CS2 LAN tournament in Bucharest, where the playoff stage runs live from 26 to 28 June at the Halo Events Center[3]. A programmatically minded trader would note that the current crowd-implied probability of 0% YES suggests the market views Walczaki as virtually certain to lose, a stance that demands verification against recent form rather than blind acceptance.
Historical precedent shows Walczaki recently lost a tight 2–1 quarterfinal against Echo on 25 June, advancing only to the quarter-finals while Echo moved to semi-finals[1][2]. Comparable cases in LAN playoffs often see teams with a single recent loss struggle against fresh opponents, yet the 0% probability is unusually absolute for a match where both sides are active in the same tournament. In conditional order systems, such extreme odds typically trigger a review of team dependencies, as a 0% settlement implies no chance of a tie or cancellation, which contradicts standard LAN protocols where delays beyond seven days resolve to 50–50[5].
Traders must monitor the live score feed for Walczaki’s performance against Inner Circle, as any deviation from the expected outcome would invalidate the 0% assumption[5][6]. Key catalysts include the official tournament schedule confirming the match start time and any announcements regarding player availability or technical delays, which could shift the resolution to 50–50 if the match is delayed beyond seven days[3]. Recent coverage from GosuGamers confirms the match is live and scheduled, but no news has yet indicated a cancellation or roster change that would justify the current extreme probability[5]. A power-user evaluating copy-trading bots should set conditional orders to exit if the live score shows Walczaki winning any map, as the current market pricing appears disconnected from the reality of a competitive BO3.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket App UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?
- Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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