Dota 2: THE VISION vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is a Best of 3 upper bracket round 1 match in the The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, where THE VISION faced 4ikibamboni on 22 June at 1:00 PM ET. Strafe Esports data confirms THE VISION secured a decisive 2–0 victory in this series, played at 6:00 PM local time, with 62.4% of their user base correctly predicting the outcome beforehand[1].

Historical precedents in regional qualifiers show that when a team like THE VISION enters with a clear 62% crowd-implied edge and executes a clean 2–0 sweep, the market probability of 100% YES reflects a near-certain resolution rather than speculative optimism[1]. Comparable cases from TI regional qualifiers indicate that such dominant performances rarely result in ties or cancellations, making the 50–50 contingency clause effectively irrelevant for this fixture[5].

Traders approaching this programmatically should monitor official match logs for series completion status and verify the absence of disqualifications or roster violations that could trigger the tie condition. Recent updates from GosuGamers confirm 4ikibamboni’s roster stability and performance history, reducing the risk of unexpected delays or cancellations that might alter the settlement outcome[4]. With the match already concluded and the winner determined, the market will resolve to THE VISION, aligning with the verified result and the overwhelming crowd consensus[1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: THE VISION vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket App UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.