LoL: CCG Esports vs Conviction (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The North American Challengers League Upper bracket final will pit CCG Esports against Conviction in a best-of-five League of Legends match, originally scheduled for 28 May at 4:00 PM ET. The Challengers League serves as the secondary competitive tier beneath the LCS, featuring organisations and rosters competing for promotion and prize pools. A 0% implied probability for CCG Esports suggests either extreme confidence in Conviction's superiority or insufficient liquidity to establish a meaningful market price; either interpretation warrants scrutiny before committing capital.

Historical precedent in Challengers League playoffs shows that seeding and recent form carry substantial predictive weight, yet upsets occur with regularity when rosters feature players with prior LCS experience or coaching staff with established track records. The 7-day resolution window creates operational risk—any scheduling delay, technical issue, or incomplete match triggers a 50-50 split, which functions as a hedge against administrative uncertainty rather than a reflection of competitive balance. Traders should monitor official NACL announcements for roster changes, player availability, or format modifications in the days preceding the match.

Key catalysts include confirmation of final lineups, any last-minute coaching changes, and server stability reports from Riot's infrastructure team. The settlement window extends to 30 May at 02:00 UTC, providing a 48-hour buffer beyond the scheduled date. Programmatically, conditional order logic should account for the tie-resolution clause; a market showing extreme skew towards one outcome warrants checking whether recent news has shifted competitive assessments or whether liquidity constraints are artificially compressing odds.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?

Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.