LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

LOS and Vivo Keyd Stars will compete in the upper bracket semifinal of the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs on 8 June at 3:15PM ET, with the winner advancing toward qualification for the global tournament. The best-of-three format means the first team to secure two map victories progresses; a single match cancellation or seven-day delay without resolution triggers a 50-50 settlement regardless of circumstances.

The 0% probability reflects genuine uncertainty about team rosters and recent form rather than certainty about the outcome. South American League of Legends competition has historically produced volatile matchups where regional ranking shifts occur rapidly between splits. Vivo Keyd Stars, a historically established organisation, competes against LOS in a qualifier context where both teams' current patch-specific champion pools and mid-season roster adjustments remain the primary variables. Recent Cblol (Brazilian league) performance data would provide the most reliable baseline, though international patch changes between qualifier scheduling and match date can alter team preparation timelines significantly.

Traders monitoring this market should track official Esports World Cup announcements regarding schedule confirmations, as regional qualifiers frequently experience rescheduling. Patch notes released between now and 8 June will influence champion viability and team preparation depth. Team announcements regarding roster changes or substitute players warrant attention, particularly given that LCS and regional league off-seasons can create temporary availability constraints. The settlement window closes 8 June at 01:15 UTC, providing approximately 22 hours post-match for result confirmation before conditional orders or automated position closures execute.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?

Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.