Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket App UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket App UK.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 0% Saigon Warriors | 100% Top Esports Challenger |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% Saigon Warriors | 0% Top Esports Challenger |
| Match Winner | 0% Saigon Warriors | 100% Top Esports Challenger |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: TESC (-1.5) vs Saigon Warriors (+1.5) | 0% Top Esports Challenger | 100% Saigon Warriors |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% YES | 90% NO |
Market context
Saigon Warriors will face Top Esports Challenger in a best-of-three League of Legends match within the Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifier on 15 June at 6:00 AM ET. This is a single-elimination fixture determining qualification for the broader Asia Masters tournament; the loser is eliminated from the competition. The match settlement window closes at 15:40 UTC, allowing approximately 40 minutes beyond the scheduled start for completion of a full series.
The 0% implied probability reflects genuine uncertainty around match execution rather than a settled competitive expectation. Last Chance Qualifiers historically experience scheduling volatility—fixture delays, technical issues, or roster changes can push matches beyond the seven-day grace period, triggering a 50-50 resolution. Comparable regional qualifiers in 2024–2025 saw roughly 8–12% of scheduled matches either cancelled or unresolved within the settlement window, particularly when involving emerging regional teams with less infrastructure redundancy than franchised organisations.
Traders should monitor official Asia Masters communications and both teams' social channels from 48 hours before the fixture for roster confirmations, venue changes, or broadcast delays. Saigon Warriors' recent domestic performance in the Vietnamese regional league and Top Esports Challenger's standing within the TES academy structure will inform competitive positioning once the match begins. For automated monitoring, setting conditional alerts on match-start confirmation and stream-go-live signals reduces execution risk; the tight 40-minute settlement window makes post-match verification critical for programmatic order placement.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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