Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket App UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket App UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 100% Team Vitality | 0% FUT Esports |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% Team Vitality | 0% FUT Esports |
| Match Winner | 100% Team Vitality | 0% FUT Esports |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) | 100% Team Vitality | 0% FUT Esports |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Team Vitality face FUT Esports in a lower bracket quarterfinal best-of-three match at VCT Masters London on 16 June, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the tournament. The fixture is scheduled for 1:00 PM ET, with settlement contingent on a decisive result by 22:00 UTC the same day.
The 100% implied probability reflects Vitality's established standing within European Valorant. Vitality have consistently qualified for international VCT events and maintain roster stability with experienced players, whilst FUT Esports represent a lower-seeded challenger. Historical precedent from prior VCT Masters tournaments shows that seeding correlates strongly with lower bracket outcomes, though upsets do occur—particularly when teams face fatigue from earlier matches or roster changes. The seven-day resolution window accommodates standard tournament scheduling, though VCT events rarely extend matches beyond their scheduled dates without completion.
Traders monitoring this market should track official VCT announcements regarding match postponements, which occasionally occur due to technical issues or player availability. The Valorant Champions Tour schedule is publicly maintained by Riot Games, and any fixture changes typically appear 24–48 hours in advance. Conditional order logic would benefit from monitoring both teams' social media and the official VCT broadcast schedule; a cancellation or tie-resolution scenario remains unlikely given Riot's operational standards, but remains contractually possible under the market's terms. Real-time bracket updates and team roster confirmations closer to the match date provide the most reliable data points for position management.
Methodology
We track Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?
- Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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