# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

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Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast's next YouTube upload will accumulate a measurable view count within its first 24 hours, and this market brackets that performance into discrete ranges. The settlement hinges on YouTube's public view counter at the 24-hour mark following publication, with no resolution possible until that window closes regardless of early bracket strikes.

Historical performance data shows MrBeast's recent uploads consistently exceed 50 million views within 24 hours, with several exceeding 100 million. His December 2024 video "I Gave Away $1,000,000 In 24 Hours" reached approximately 120 million views in the opening day. The 21% probability assigned to the highest bracket suggests the market is pricing in either a content-type shift, algorithmic headwinds, or genuine uncertainty about upload timing before the June 2026 deadline. Comparable creators like SET India and Zee Entertainment maintain lower day-one velocity, whilst established MrBeast collaborations and challenge formats have historically outperformed his experimental or lower-budget releases.

Traders monitoring this market should track MrBeast's upload schedule announcements via his social channels and Discord community, where he frequently signals content drops. YouTube's algorithmic performance varies with platform-wide engagement trends and competing releases; major streaming events or platform changes could suppress relative performance. For programmatic approaches, integrating YouTube Data API polling at the 24-hour mark post-upload timestamp provides precise settlement data. The six-month window to June 2026 creates dependency risk—if no video publishes, the market resolves to the lowest bracket, making upload probability itself a material factor in position sizing.

Methodology

This page reviews # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket App UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.