# of views of MrBeast video day 2?

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Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast's latest YouTube upload will accumulate a measurable view count over its first 48 hours post-publication. The resolution hinges on automated view-count tracking from YouTube's public metrics, with settlement contingent on the full two-day window completing regardless of early bracket closure. Traders monitoring this market require real-time API access to YouTube's view data or a reliable scraping mechanism, as manual refresh cycles introduce lag that compounds across volatile early-viewing periods when view velocity peaks.

Historical precedent suggests MrBeast's content consistently achieves 50–100 million views within 48 hours, though variance depends on upload timing, thumbnail engagement, and algorithmic promotion. His January 2024 "Squid Game" video reached approximately 80 million views in two days; comparable high-production releases typically land in the 60–90 million bracket. The 0% implied probability reflects either market illiquidity or a resolution bracket set above his typical performance ceiling, making this a calibration signal rather than genuine consensus.

Traders should monitor MrBeast's upload schedule via his channel's activity feed and cross-reference YouTube Trending data for real-time velocity signals. Conditional order logic—triggering alerts when view-count acceleration drops below historical hourly averages—provides early warning of underperformance. Recent platform changes to YouTube's recommendation algorithm (documented in creator forums through May 2025) have slightly compressed view trajectories for established channels, though MrBeast's subscriber base and engagement metrics remain outliers. Settlement timing at 2026-06-01 suggests the video in question uploads well before that date, allowing full 48-hour observation windows.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?

Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.