PGA Tour: the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday Winner

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Memorial Tournament presented by Workday takes place annually at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, typically in early June. The 2026 edition will determine which of the listed players captures the title, with settlement occurring on 7 June 2026. The tournament format follows standard PGA Tour 72-hole stroke play rules, with the lowest aggregate score winning outright; any tied finishes are resolved according to official PGA Tour playoff procedures.

Historical context shows the Memorial has attracted consistent fields of top-ranked competitors since its inception in 1976. Recent winners—including Scottie Scheffler (2024) and Viktor Hovland (2023)—demonstrate the tournament's appeal to elite players. The 0% implied probability on listed players reflects either an exceptionally strong field of unlisted competitors or significant uncertainty about player participation and form eighteen months ahead of the event. Comparable major PGA Tour events show similar probability distributions when settlement windows extend beyond twelve months, as injury risk, tour suspensions, and form volatility create substantial pricing challenges.

Traders should monitor PGA Tour injury announcements and suspension notices throughout 2025 and early 2026, as these trigger immediate market resolution to "No" for affected players. Course conditions and weather forecasts typically emerge four weeks before play; recent PGA Tour coverage via ESPN and Golf Channel provides reliable data on player fitness and recent performance. Automated monitoring of official PGA Tour entry lists—typically released two weeks pre-tournament—allows conditional orders to execute when listed players are confirmed or withdrawn, streamlining position management for multi-leg betting strategies.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?

Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.