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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

60 outcomes · leader: Game 1 Winner at 86%

Game 1 Winner 86% Outcomes: 60 Runner-up: 57% Σ 2993% Volume: $1.1M 24h volume: $1.1M Liquidity: $157K Opened: 5 Jun 2026 Closes: 5 Jun 2026

Resolution criteria: This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Team Falcons and Aurora in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 5 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Team Falcons. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this mark

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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Market statistics

Total volume
$1.1M
24h volume
$1.1M
Liquidity
$157K
Open interest
$954K

Available prediction outcomes (60)

Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.

#1 Game 1 Winner
Game 1 Winner
Vol $1.1M · 24h $1.1M
86% Trade →
#2 Match Winner
Match Winner
Vol $160K · 24h $160K
57% Trade →
#3 O/U 2.5 Games
O/U 2.5 Games
Vol $70 · 24h $70
51% Trade →
#4 First Blood in Game 1?
First Blood in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#5 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#6 Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#7 Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#8 Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#9 Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#10 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?
50% Trade →
#11 Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 2?
50% Trade →
#12 Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?
50% Trade →
#13 Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 2?
50% Trade →
#14 Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?
50% Trade →
#15 First Blood in Game 2?
First Blood in Game 2?
50% Trade →
#16 First Blood in Game 3?
First Blood in Game 3?
50% Trade →
#17 Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?
Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?
50% Trade →
#18 Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 3?
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 3?
50% Trade →
#19 Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 3?
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 3?
50% Trade →
#20 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?
50% Trade →
#21 Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 3?
Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 3?
50% Trade →
#22 Ends in Daytime
Ends in Daytime
50% Trade →
#23 Both Teams Beat Roshan
Both Teams Beat Roshan
50% Trade →
#24 Both Teams Destroy Barracks
Both Teams Destroy Barracks
50% Trade →
#25 Any Player Ultra Kill
Any Player Ultra Kill
Vol $6 · 24h $6
50% Trade →
#26 Any Player Rampage
Any Player Rampage
50% Trade →
#27 Ends in Daytime
Ends in Daytime
50% Trade →
#28 Both Teams Beat Roshan
Both Teams Beat Roshan
50% Trade →
#29 Both Teams Destroy Barracks
Both Teams Destroy Barracks
50% Trade →
#30 Any Player Ultra Kill
Any Player Ultra Kill
50% Trade →
#31 Any Player Rampage
Any Player Rampage
50% Trade →
#32 Ends in Daytime
Ends in Daytime
50% Trade →
#33 Both Teams Beat Roshan
Both Teams Beat Roshan
50% Trade →
#34 Both Teams Destroy Barracks
Both Teams Destroy Barracks
50% Trade →
#35 Any Player Ultra Kill
Any Player Ultra Kill
50% Trade →
#36 Any Player Rampage
Any Player Rampage
50% Trade →
#37 Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?
50% Trade →
#38 Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#39 Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#40 Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#41 Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#42 Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#43 Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#44 Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#45 Total Kills Over/Under 62.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 62.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#46 Total Kills Over/Under 63.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 63.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#47 Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#48 Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#49 Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#50 Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#51 Total Kills Over/Under 64.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 64.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#52 Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#53 Total Kills Over/Under 67.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 67.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#54 Total Kills Over/Under 66.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 66.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#55 Total Kills Over/Under 68.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 68.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#56 Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#57 Total Kills Over/Under 69.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 69.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#58 Game 2 Winner
Game 2 Winner
Vol $1K · 24h $1K
43% Trade →
#59 Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)
Liq $8K
30% Trade →
#60 Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)
Vol $5K · 24h $5K
28% Trade →

Market context

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Team Falcons and Aurora in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 5 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Team Falcons. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this mark

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Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/BLASTDota. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

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