Palestine vs. Kenya - Exact Score

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Market context

Palestine and Kenya will meet in an international friendly on 6 June 2026, with the match kicking off at 8:30 AM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Any outcome not explicitly listed settles as "Any Other Score," a catch-all category that typically captures 15–25% of probability mass in football friendlies depending on the specificity of listed outcomes.

The 100% crowd probability reflects the market's certainty that a match will occur and produce a scoreline—not confidence in any particular result. Comparable FIFA friendlies between lower-ranked nations show wide score distributions; Palestine (currently ranked 107th by FIFA) and Kenya (ranked 110th) have limited recent head-to-head data, but their typical friendly outputs span 0–3 goals per side. Historical precedent suggests markets on such fixtures see probability mass concentrate around low-scoring draws (0–0, 1–1) and narrow home or away victories (1–0, 2–1), with tail outcomes (4+ goals) remaining thin.

Traders monitoring this market should track squad announcements and injury bulletins from both federations, typically released 48–72 hours before kickoff. Venue confirmation and weather conditions matter for lower-ranked sides with less consistent training infrastructure. Programmatic approaches would benefit from conditional order logic tied to official team sheets; a bot could adjust position sizing if either side announces significant absences. The settlement window closes at 12:30 UTC on match day, allowing roughly four hours post-final whistle for resolution verification against official FIFA records.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?

Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.