Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket App UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket App UK.
Active sub-markets
| United States (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Senegal (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| United States (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Senegal (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
The United States men's national football team will face Senegal in a FIFA International Friendly on 31 May 2026 at 3:30 PM ET. This fixture falls within the international break calendar and serves as preparation for both squads ahead of summer competitions or qualifying cycles. The 0% crowd probability suggests either minimal liquidity, settlement uncertainty, or that this market represents a secondary or derivative betting instrument rather than a primary match outcome.
Historical context for US–Senegal friendlies is sparse; the nations have met infrequently in competitive or friendly settings. The USMNT's recent friendly record against African opposition shows variable results, making direct precedent weak. However, traders evaluating this market should note that friendly matches often feature rotated squads and experimental lineups, which dampens predictability compared to competitive fixtures. The current zero probability may reflect genuine uncertainty about whether additional derivative markets (such as goal-line bets, player performance props, or conditional orders) will even settle, rather than confidence in any particular outcome.
Key catalysts include squad announcements from both federations, typically released 10–14 days before the match, and any late fixture changes due to club release schedules or injury updates. Programmatically, traders should monitor official USSF and Fédération Sénégalaise de Football channels for roster confirmations. The settlement window closes at 19:30 UTC on match day, leaving minimal post-match arbitrage window. Conditional order logic would benefit from triggering on confirmed team sheets; without them, model inputs remain too volatile for reliable automated positioning.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $298K.
Methodology
This page reviews United States vs. Senegal - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket App UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?
- Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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