Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Canada and Bosnia-Herzegovina will meet in a group-stage fixture at the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 12 June, with kickoff at 3:00 PM ET. The market resolves on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Any outcome not explicitly listed settles as "Any Other Score." The 10% implied probability for a specific exact scoreline reflects the inherent difficulty of predicting precise match results; even heavily favoured teams rarely exceed 15–20% probability on individual scorelines in comparable markets.

Historical precedent suggests exact-score markets on group-stage matches between teams of differing quality tend to cluster probability mass around low-scoring draws and narrow home or away victories. Canada's 2022 World Cup campaign saw matches ending 0–2, 1–2, and 2–1, whilst Bosnia-Herzegovina's recent competitive fixtures have produced scores in the 0–1 to 2–1 range. The current 10% probability implies the listed outcome sits outside the modal cluster—likely a mid-range scoreline rather than a 1–0 or 0–0 result.

Traders monitoring team news should track squad announcements and injury reports through late May, particularly regarding key attacking and defensive personnel. Fixture congestion in the days preceding the match could affect rotation decisions. For programmatic approaches, conditional orders keyed to pre-match odds movements and late-breaking team-sheet confirmations offer efficiency; exact-score markets exhibit sharp repricing once lineups are confirmed, typically 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Settlement timing is fixed at 19:00 UTC on 12 June, allowing straightforward automation of position closure or hedging strategies.

Methodology

This page reviews Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket App UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.