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France vs. Sweden - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "France vs. Sweden - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 96% France O/U 0.5 92% Team to Advance 89% O/U 1.5 85% Volume: $314K Liquidity: $2.4M Closes: 30 Jun 2026
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France vs. Sweden - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket App UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.596%
France O/U 0.592%
Team to Advance89%
O/U 1.585%
2nd Half O/U 0.582%
1st Half O/U 0.577%
France O/U 1.573%
France 2nd Half O/U 0.573%
France 1st Half O/U 0.568%
O/U 2.565%
France (-1.5)56%
2nd Half O/U 1.553%
Sweden O/U 0.552%
Both Teams to Score49%
France O/U 2.548%
France 2nd Half O/U 1.543%
O/U 3.543%
1st Half O/U 1.543%
France (-2.5)34%
Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.534%
France 1st Half O/U 1.533%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half30%
2nd Half O/U 2.528%
Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.526%
O/U 4.524%
1st Half O/U 2.518%
Both Teams to Score in First Half18%
France (-3.5)17%
Sweden O/U 1.517%
O/U 5.512%
Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.510%
France (-4.5)7%
O/U 6.55%
Sweden O/U 2.54%
France (-5.5)3%
Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.53%
Sweden (-1.5)2%
O/U 7.52%
Sweden (-2.5)1%
Sweden (-3.5)1%
O/U 8.51%
Sweden (-4.5)0%
Sweden (-5.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 96% YES probability for France vs. Sweden - More Markets. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket App UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade France vs. Sweden - More Markets on Polymarket App UK

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