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Germany vs. Paraguay - Exact Score

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Germany vs. Paraguay - Exact Score" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Any Other Score 19% Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay 14% Germany 1 - 0 Paraguay 13% Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay 10% Volume: $148K Liquidity: $1.9M Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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Germany vs. Paraguay - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket App UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
19% 81% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
19% 81% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Other Score19%
Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay14%
Germany 1 - 0 Paraguay13%
Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay10%
Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay10%
Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay9%
Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay8%
Germany 0 - 0 Paraguay6%
Germany 2 - 2 Paraguay3%
Germany 3 - 2 Paraguay3%
Germany 0 - 1 Paraguay3%
Germany 1 - 2 Paraguay2%
Germany 1 - 3 Paraguay1%
Germany 2 - 3 Paraguay1%
Germany 3 - 3 Paraguay1%
Germany 0 - 2 Paraguay1%
Germany 0 - 3 Paraguay0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, germany vs. paraguay - exact score stands at 19% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Germany and Paraguay, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Germany vs. Pa…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket App UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket App UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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