Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket App UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
19% | 81% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
19% | 81% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Any Other Score | 19% |
| Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay | 14% |
| Germany 1 - 0 Paraguay | 13% |
| Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay | 10% |
| Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay | 10% |
| Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay | 9% |
| Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay | 8% |
| Germany 0 - 0 Paraguay | 6% |
| Germany 2 - 2 Paraguay | 3% |
| Germany 3 - 2 Paraguay | 3% |
| Germany 0 - 1 Paraguay | 3% |
| Germany 1 - 2 Paraguay | 2% |
| Germany 1 - 3 Paraguay | 1% |
| Germany 2 - 3 Paraguay | 1% |
| Germany 3 - 3 Paraguay | 1% |
| Germany 0 - 2 Paraguay | 1% |
| Germany 0 - 3 Paraguay | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, germany vs. paraguay - exact score stands at 19% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Germany and Paraguay, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Germany vs. Pa…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket App UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket App UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Germany vs. Paraguay - Exact Score on Polymarket App UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →