Haiti vs. Scotland - Halftime Result

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland meet in a World Cup qualifier on 13 June 2026, with the halftime result determining whether Scotland leads, the sides are level, or Haiti holds an advantage at the 45-minute mark. The match kicks off at 9:00 PM ET, settling roughly six hours later when the first half concludes. The 0% YES probability reflects the market's assessment that Scotland will not be ahead at halftime—a reflection of both team strength and the inherent difficulty of predicting early-match momentum in competitive fixtures.

Historical halftime outcomes in World Cup qualifiers show that home advantage typically manifests within the opening 45 minutes, though not uniformly. Scotland, playing at home, would ordinarily carry favourability in halftime markets; however, the 0% reading suggests traders are pricing in either a strong expectation of an early Haiti goal or a draw scenario. Comparable fixtures between nations of similar ranking—where the underdog has secured early leads or held firm defensively—demonstrate that halftime markets can shift sharply once team sheets are confirmed and pre-match analysis surfaces tactical adjustments or injury news.

For programmatic traders, the key catalyst window closes with official squad announcements, typically 48 to 72 hours before kickoff. Conditional order logic should account for late-breaking injury reports affecting either side's attacking or defensive shape. Live-odds feeds from major sportsbooks will signal sharp movement if either team's starting XI deviates from consensus expectations. Settlement hinges on the referee's halftime whistle and official match records; no ambiguity exists around the 45-minute boundary, making this a cleanly executable market for automated systems monitoring fixture confirmation and team news feeds.

Methodology

We track Haiti vs. Scotland - Halftime Result on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?

Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.