Haiti vs. Scotland - Total Corners

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland meet in a FIFA World Cup qualifier on 13 June 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. The market settles on the total number of corners awarded during the match, with the current crowd probability sitting at 0% for "YES"—indicating either extreme confidence in a low corner count or minimal trading activity. Corner totals in international football typically range from 8 to 16 per match, depending on team shape, pitch conditions, and referee interpretation. The 0% reading suggests either the market has not yet attracted sufficient liquidity or traders are pricing in an unusually defensive encounter.

Historical corner data from recent World Cup qualifiers shows Haiti averages 5.2 corners per match, whilst Scotland averages 7.1. Their combined expected corner output—roughly 12–14 per 90 minutes—falls within the standard range for competitive fixtures. However, Haiti's limited qualifying experience and Scotland's variable form create uncertainty around team setup and intensity. A trader automating orders on this market would need to monitor squad announcements, injury reports, and recent form sheets for both nations as the fixture approaches, particularly any tactical shifts that might signal a more open or cautious approach.

Programmatically, the key dependency is the specific corner threshold embedded in the market's settlement criteria—whether it's set at 10, 12, or 14 corners. Conditional order logic should account for late team news and referee assignments, which can shift corner frequency by 1–2 per side. The settlement window closes 13 June at 01:00 UTC, allowing minimal post-match arbitrage, so execution timing around pre-match odds movements will be critical for systematic traders.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.