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Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima

Five-platform snapshot of "Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima 100% Completed Match 100% Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set 2 Winner 100% Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% Volume: $135K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket App UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima100%
Completed Match100%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set 2 Winner100%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set 1 Winner100%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Match O/U 21.50%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Match O/U 22.50%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Match O/U 23.50%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set 1 O/U 8.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, brasov: guido justo vs sebastian gima stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Guido Justo and Sebastian Gima in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guid…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket App UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket App UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima on Polymarket App UK

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