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Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend (BO5) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend (BO5) - Super DraculaN Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 100% O/U 3.5 Games 100% Map Handicap: ICE (-1.5) vs Acend (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $676K Liquidity: $939K Closes: 28 Jun 2026
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Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend (BO5) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket App UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
Map Handicap: ICE (-1.5) vs Acend (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Map 3 Winner100%
Map 4 Winner100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-3.5) vs Acend (+3.5)100%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
O/U 4.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: ICE (-2.5) vs Acend (+2.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-3.5) vs Acend (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-6.5) vs Acend (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Acend (-6.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-6.5) vs Acend (+6.5)0%
Map Handicap: ACE (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)0%
Map Handicap: ACE (-2.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-3.5) vs Acend (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Acend (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-6.5) vs Acend (+6.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: inner circle esports vs acend (bo5) - super draculan playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Inner Circle Esports and Acend in the Super DraculaN Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 28 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket App UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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