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Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group B" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Volume: $132K Liquidity: $867 Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket App UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: SB (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5)0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group B. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Habibis and summer bear in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for June 29 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Habibis" if Habib…

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group B across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro … on Polymarket App UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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