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Netherlands vs. Japan

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Netherlands vs. Japan" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

26% YES 74% NO Volume: $277K Liquidity: $563K Closes: 14 Jun 2026
Trade on Polymarket App UK →
Netherlands vs. Japan

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket App UK Pick
polygram.ink
26% 74% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket App UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
26% 74% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket App UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket App UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket App UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket App UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket App UK.

Active sub-markets

Japan26% YES75% NO
Draw27% YES74% NO
Netherlands47% YES54% NO

Market context

Market consensus: 26% chance of netherlands vs. japan. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Sunday, June 14, 2026 between Netherlands and Japan.

Methodology

This page reviews Netherlands vs. Japan across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket App UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?
Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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