Qatar vs. Switzerland - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Qatar and Switzerland will meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage on 13 June at 3:00 PM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Any outcome not explicitly listed settles as "Any Other Score." The 4% implied probability for this specific outcome reflects the difficulty of predicting exact scorelines in international football, where most matches produce one of a limited set of common results.

Historical data on exact-score markets in major tournaments shows that outcomes like 1–0, 1–1, and 2–1 collectively account for roughly 40–50% of all group-stage matches, whilst any single scoreline rarely exceeds 8–10% probability. Qatar's qualification as hosts in 2022 saw them exit at the group stage with a goal differential of −6, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities. Switzerland reached the quarter-finals in 2022 and typically competes as a mid-tier side; their matches against weaker opponents have produced varied results, from 3–2 victories to 1–0 defeats. The 4% probability implies traders are pricing this particular scoreline as less likely than the modal outcomes.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury reports closer to June 2026, particularly any changes to Switzerland's attacking depth or Qatar's defensive personnel. Fixture congestion in the preceding days may affect team fitness. The market remains open until the match concludes; if postponement occurs, settlement extends accordingly. Programmatically, this market suits conditional order logic—traders can set triggers based on team news or correlated betting movements in related markets (match winner, over/under goals) to refine entry timing.

Methodology

This page reviews Qatar vs. Switzerland - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket App UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.