LoL: eSuba vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

eSuba and Onion Team are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three League of Legends match within the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season on 3 May at 07:30 ET. The settlement window extends to 5 May at 20:10 UTC, providing a two-day buffer beyond the scheduled fixture. Resolution hinges on match completion: a decisive series win resolves to the victor, whilst cancellation, ties, or delays exceeding seven days without a result trigger a 50-50 split. Forfeiture or disqualification mid-series also determines the outcome based on which team secures the win condition.

The 100% implied probability reflects the Hitpoint Masters' established operational track record. Regional League of Legends tournaments in this tier have historically maintained fixture completion rates above 95%, with cancellations typically reserved for extraordinary circumstances such as venue failures or force majeure events. Comparable BO3 matches within the same competition structure over the past two seasons show minimal instances of unresolved outcomes, establishing a baseline expectation that scheduled matches proceed to conclusion.

Traders monitoring this market should track Hitpoint Masters official communications for any roster changes, technical issues, or scheduling revisions. The two-day settlement window provides flexibility for minor delays, but any announcement of postponement beyond 7 May would materially shift resolution odds. Integration with esports data feeds and tournament APIs allows conditional order placement tied to fixture status updates, enabling automated position management should scheduling changes emerge prior to match commencement.

Methodology

We track LoL: eSuba vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.