Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket App UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket App UK.
Active sub-markets
| NRFI | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros | 81% YES | 20% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 64% YES | 36% NO |
| O/U 7.5 | 26% YES | 75% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 57% YES | 43% NO |
| O/U 5.5 | 40% YES | 60% NO |
Market context
The Milwaukee Brewers travel to Houston on 31 May for a regular-season matchup against the Astros, with first pitch at 2:10 PM ET. This single-game contract settles based on the final result recorded in official MLB statistics, with a 7 June deadline for resolution. Postponements extend the settlement window; cancellations without rescheduling or tie outcomes trigger a 50-50 split.
A 0% crowd probability suggests either extreme confidence in one outcome or minimal trading volume at present. Historical context matters here: the Astros have maintained a stronger win percentage against the Brewers over recent seasons, though regular-season matchups between non-division rivals show considerable variance. Comparable markets for mid-week day games typically see probability shifts of 5–15 percentage points once lineups and weather data solidify within 48 hours of game time.
Traders monitoring this contract programmatically should track roster announcements—particularly starting pitcher confirmations and injury updates—released by both clubs through official channels. Weather conditions at Minute Maid Park, which can favour either team depending on wind direction and humidity, warrant checking National Weather Service forecasts from 30 May onwards. Recent betting markets and sportsbook lines will provide calibration points; significant divergence between this contract and traditional sportsbooks may indicate mispricing. The settlement window's extension to 7 June accommodates potential rain delays common to Houston's climate during late May, so traders should monitor MLB's official schedule for any postponement announcements that would keep the market open beyond the original game date.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.2M.
Methodology
This page reviews Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket App UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?
- Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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