New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The upcoming MLB fixture between the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for 7:10pm ET on 26 June at Fenway Park, has already concluded with the Red Sox securing a decisive 6–1 victory on Friday night. This result means the current crowd-implied probability of 0% for a Yankees win is not a speculative forecast but a reflection of the game’s settled outcome, where the Red Sox took the first two games of the four-match series.

Historically, such lopsided outcomes in this rivalry often stem from early pitching dominance and defensive errors, as seen when the Red Sox overwhelmed the Yankees in their previous encounters at Fenway. For a power-user evaluating this market programmatically, the 0% probability serves as a clear signal that conditional orders for a Yankees win would be redundant, mirroring past cases where one team’s early momentum rendered the opposing side’s chances negligible before the final whistle.

Traders should monitor official MLB announcements regarding any potential postponements or cancellations, though the game’s completion confirms no such dependencies exist. Recent coverage from ESPN confirms the Red Sox’s 6–1 win, solidifying the resolution source and eliminating ambiguity for automated trading bots that rely on verified final statistics. With the settlement window ending in July 2026, the market’s open status for postponed games remains irrelevant, as the fixture has already been fully resolved.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?

Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.