Knicks vs. Spurs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The New York Knicks face the San Antonio Spurs on 13 June at 8:30 PM ET in an NBA matchup. Current crowd-implied probability sits at 46% for a Knicks victory, suggesting marginal favouring of the Spurs. Settlement occurs shortly after the game concludes, with the window closing at 00:30 UTC on 14 June. The market accounts for overtime and will remain open only if postponement occurs; cancellation without rescheduling triggers a 50-50 split.

Historical context matters here: the Knicks have won roughly 47% of matchups against San Antonio over the past five seasons, though recent form varies considerably season to season. The 46% probability reflects neither team's current standing as a heavy favourite, suggesting the crowd perceives genuine competitive balance. Comparable NBA regular-season or playoff games between mid-tier franchises typically settle within this range when neither side commands a clear advantage in recent performance metrics or injury status.

Traders monitoring this market should track official NBA injury reports released 24 hours before tip-off, particularly regarding key rotation players on either roster. Schedule density—whether either team plays back-to-back games or travels extensively—affects performance predictability. Conditional orders become useful here: setting triggers based on late-breaking roster updates or line movement on major sportsbooks can help automate entry points. The tight settlement window (roughly 3.5 hours post-game) means automated resolution monitoring is practical for those integrating this market into broader sports trading workflows.

Methodology

We track Knicks vs. Spurs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?

Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.