UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bruno Silva, a flyweight competitor, faces Édgar Cháirez in a preliminary bout scheduled for 6 June 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim. The fight will be contested at 125 pounds and forms part of the undercard for an event headlined by Muhammad's matchup against Bonfim. Official UFC declaration of victory—whether by decision, submission, knockout, or disqualification—determines the binary outcome, with technical draws, no contests, or cancellations triggering a 50-50 resolution.

The 0% implied probability reflects limited historical trading activity rather than analytical consensus on Silva's chances. Preliminary flyweight bouts typically attract lower volume than main-card fights, creating sparse price discovery. Comparable preliminary-level markets often show extreme probabilities early in their lifecycle, then normalise as fight dates approach and fighter information circulates. Traders using conditional order logic should anticipate probability shifts once fight footage, injury reports, or weight-cut complications surface in the weeks preceding the event.

Key catalysts include official weigh-in results (typically 24 hours before the bout), last-minute fighter withdrawals, and any UFC announcements regarding bout rescheduling or card adjustments. Programmatic traders monitoring UFC's official channels and fighter social media will capture these signals before general market repricing. The settlement window closes at 03:59:59 UTC on 7 June, allowing roughly 24 hours post-fight for official UFC confirmation. Dependency risk exists if the entire card faces postponement beyond 20 June, which would collapse both fighters' markets into 50-50 resolution.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?

Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.