Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket App UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 1 Winner | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of wimbledon wta: alycia parks vs mananchaya sawangkaew. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Alycia Parks and Mananchaya Sawangkaew in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will re…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $210K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket App UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew on Polymarket App UK
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