Market statistics
- Total volume
- $233K
- 24h volume
- $220K
- Liquidity
- $311K
- Open interest
- $179K
Available prediction outcomes (71)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
EDward Gaming face Bilibili Gaming in a League of Legends lower bracket first-round match within the LPL Playoffs, scheduled for 3 June 2026 at 05:00 ET. The best-of-five format means the first team to win three games advances; a loss eliminates the lower-seeded side from the tournament. The 7% implied probability for EDward Gaming suggests market participants assess Bilibili Gaming as substantial favourites, reflecting their regular season positioning and recent form within the LPL's competitive hierarchy.
Historical LPL lower bracket matchups demonstrate that seeding and regular season performance correlate strongly with playoff outcomes, though upsets occur at rates between 15–25% depending on the teams involved. EDward Gaming's path to this fixture indicates they finished lower in the standings than Bilibili Gaming, establishing a baseline expectation favourable to the latter. Comparable recent LPL lower bracket encounters show that teams entering from stronger regular season records convert playoff advantages into wins approximately 75–80% of the time, which aligns with the current 93% crowd probability for Bilibili Gaming.
Traders monitoring this market should track roster changes, injury announcements, or coaching adjustments in the days preceding 3 June, as these materially affect team preparation and performance. Conditional order logic would benefit from monitoring LPL official schedules for any postponements beyond the seven-day threshold, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Recent patch notes and meta shifts released before the match date also warrant attention, as they can disproportionately favour teams with stronger adaptability or champion pool depth.
Wikipedia Context
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Edward LowEdward Low, also known as Ned Low, was a pirate of English origin during the latter days of the Golden Age of Piracy, in the early 18th century. Low was born into poverty in Westminster, Middlesex, and was a thief from an early age. He moved to Boston, Massachusetts, as a young man. His wife died in childbirth in late 1719. Two years later, he became a pirat
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Lord Edward FitzGeraldLord Edward FitzGerald was an Irish aristocrat and revolutionary proponent of Irish independence from Britain. He abandoned his prospects as a distinguished veteran of British service in the American War of Independence, and as an Irish Parliamentarian, to embrace the cause in Ireland of Catholic-Protestant reconciliation and of a sovereign republic. Unable
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Lord Edward's crusadeLord Edward's Crusade, sometimes called the Ninth Crusade, was a military expedition to the Holy Land under the command of Edward Longshanks, later king of England, in 1271–1272. In practice an extension of the Eighth Crusade, it was the last of the Crusades to reach the Holy Land before the fall of Acre in 1291, which brought an end to the permanent crusade
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Lord Edward CecilLord Edward Herbert Gascoyne-Cecil, known as Lord Edward Cecil, was a distinguished and highly decorated English soldier. As colonial administrator in Egypt and advisor to the Liberal government, he helped to implement Army reforms.
Methodology
We track LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.huya.com/lpl. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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