LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Team Secret Whales face Deep Cross Gaming in the upper bracket final of the LCP (League of Legends Continental Pro) Playoffs on 31 May at 05:00 ET. The match is a best-of-five series; Team Secret Whales must win to advance directly to the grand final, whilst a loss sends them to the lower bracket. The current 78% implied probability favours the Whales, reflecting their standing as the higher-seeded or more consistent performer in the regular season.

Historical precedent in LCP upper bracket finals shows that seeding advantage typically translates to a 65–75% win rate for favourites, though Deep Cross Gaming's recent form and roster stability matter considerably. If either team has undergone mid-season roster changes or coaching adjustments, that shifts the baseline significantly. Check recent LCP standings and head-to-head records from the past two seasons; teams that have faced each other multiple times show tighter probability distributions than first-time matchups.

Traders should monitor official LCP schedule confirmations and any roster announcements through the league's website or team social channels up to 48 hours before the match. Fixture delays beyond the scheduled window trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, making schedule integrity a material risk factor. For automated monitoring, conditional orders tied to match-start confirmations or roster-change announcements allow hands-on traders to adjust positions if material information surfaces. The seven-day grace period before forced 50-50 resolution also creates a specific window for tracking postponement announcements.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?

Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.