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New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Five-platform snapshot of "New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays 100% Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $309K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket App UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
Extra Innings10%
NRFI0%
Spread -1.50%
O/U 7.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.50%
O/U 8.50%
O/U 6.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 5.50%

Market context

The New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 30 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This mark…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays at 100% for "New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays".

New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $309K.

Methodology

This page reviews New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket App UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports