Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket App UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| NRFI | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals | 99% |
| Spread -1.5 | 97% |
| Spread -2.5 | 96% |
| Spread -3.5 | 93% |
| O/U 13.5 | 88% |
| Spread -5.5 | 78% |
| O/U 14.5 | 73% |
| O/U 15.5 | 57% |
| Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Extra Innings | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 44% |
| O/U 16.5 | 43% |
| Spread -1.5 | 3% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for June 30 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $389K.
Methodology
This page reviews Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket App UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals on Polymarket App UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →