Market statistics
- Total volume
- $446K
- 24h volume
- $380K
- Liquidity
- $1.0M
- Open interest
- $391K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
41% | 59% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
41% | 59% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Available prediction outcomes (6)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
The Vegas Golden Knights face the Carolina Hurricanes in an NHL matchup scheduled for 2 June at 8:00PM ET, with the market settlement window closing at midnight UTC on 3 June. The 41% implied probability for a Golden Knights victory reflects a slight lean towards the Hurricanes, though the gap remains narrow enough to suggest genuine uncertainty amongst traders. This fixture carries standard NHL resolution mechanics: regulation and overtime results determine the outcome, with shootout winners credited an additional goal for scoring purposes.
Historical matchup data between these franchises shows competitive balance, though recent regular-season performance and playoff positioning matter significantly for June fixtures. The timing—early June—places this late in the NHL season, likely during playoff rounds where team form, injury status, and rest cycles diverge sharply from regular-season patterns. Comparable late-season playoff markets typically see probability shifts of 5–15 percentage points in the 48 hours before fixture time as roster confirmations and coaching decisions crystallise.
Traders implementing automated monitoring should track official NHL injury reports and line-up announcements, typically released 24–48 hours pre-match. Goaltender availability and forward-line composition changes warrant particular attention, as these directly influence expected goal differentials. The settlement window's closure at midnight UTC on 3 June creates a hard deadline; any postponement triggers market extension rather than resolution, requiring conditional order logic to account for rescheduling scenarios. Recent league communications regarding fixture scheduling should be monitored through official NHL channels and team announcements.
Wikipedia Context
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Golden Knights (chess)
The Golden Knights is the United States open correspondence chess championship. It is held annually by the United States Chess Federation (USCF), and is open to all members of the USCF residing in the United States or who have an APO or FPO address. It was first held in 1943 under the name Victory Tournament, the next year it was called the Postal Chess Cham
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Knights PlazaKnights Plaza at University of Central Florida, commonly referred to as Knights Plaza, is an athletic village and shopping center on the main campus of the University of Central Florida in Orlando, Florida, United States. The plaza consists of housing for more than 2,000 students in four towers, 183,000 square feet (17,000 m2) of commercial space, the 10,000
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Golden nightjarThe golden nightjar is a species of nightjar in the family Caprimulgidae. It is found in Sahel region in northern Sub-Saharan Africa.
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Golden Knight GaroGolden Knight Garo is a PlayStation 2 video game based on the tokusatsu TV show Garo. It was published by Bandai and released in Japan on April 20, 2006.
Methodology
This page reviews Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.nhl.com/scores. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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