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World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Comparison of odds and platforms for "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

80 outcomes · leader: Kylian Mbappe at 16%

Kylian Mbappe 16% Outcomes: 44 Runner-up: 13% Volume: $2.3M 24h volume: $234K Liquidity: $2.4M Opened: 24 Apr 2026 Closes: 20 Jul 2026 30 comments

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026

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World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Market statistics

Total volume
$2.3M
24h volume
$234K
Liquidity
$2.4M
Open interest
$235K
Comments
30

Available prediction outcomes (80)

Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.

#1 Kylian Mbappe
Kylian Mbappe ▼ -0.5%
Vol $151K · 24h $9K
16% Trade →
#2 Harry Kane
Harry Kane
Vol $100K · 24h $9K
13% Trade →
#3 Mikel Oyarzabal
Mikel Oyarzabal
Vol $45K · 24h $5K
8% Trade →
#4 Erling Haaland
Erling Haaland ▲ +1.0%
Vol $73K · 24h $31K
7% Trade →
#5 Lionel Messi
Lionel Messi
Vol $56K · 24h $15K
5% Trade →
#6 Cristiano Ronaldo
Cristiano Ronaldo ▼ -1.0%
Vol $86K · 24h $35K
4% Trade →
#7 Lamine Yamal
Lamine Yamal ▼ -0.3%
Vol $85K · 24h $7K
4% Trade →
#8 Julian Alvarez
Julian Alvarez ▼ -0.3%
Vol $58K · 24h $12K
3% Trade →
#9 Raphinha
Raphinha ▲ +0.1%
Vol $33K · 24h $426
3% Trade →
#10 Ousmane Dembele
Ousmane Dembele ▼ -0.3%
Vol $38K · 24h $6K
3% Trade →
#11 Vinicius Junior
Vinicius Junior ▼ -0.5%
Vol $31K · 24h $1K
3% Trade →
#12 Ferran Torres
Ferran Torres ▼ -0.4%
Vol $117K · 24h $28K
3% Trade →
#13 Lautaro Martinez
Lautaro Martinez
Vol $67K · 24h $12K
2% Trade →
#14 Igor Thiago
Igor Thiago
Vol $29K · 24h $13K
2% Trade →
#15 Cody Gakpo
Cody Gakpo
Vol $7K · 24h $1K
2% Trade →
#16 Michael Olise
Michael Olise ▲ +0.2%
Vol $68K · 24h $987
2% Trade →
#17 Deniz Undav
Deniz Undav ▼ -0.3%
Vol $71K · 24h $6K
2% Trade →
#18 Luis Diaz
Luis Diaz
Vol $26K · 24h $10K
2% Trade →
#19 Federico Valverde
Federico Valverde ▼ -0.1%
Vol $59K · Liq $34K
1% Trade →
#20 Luis Javier Suárez
Luis Javier Suárez ▼ -0.2%
Vol $33K · 24h $1K
1% Trade →
#21 Viktor Gyökeres
Viktor Gyökeres
Vol $29K · Liq $45K
1% Trade →
#22 Jude Bellingham
Jude Bellingham
Vol $48K · 24h $1K
1% Trade →
#23 Depay Memphis
Depay Memphis
Vol $7K · 24h $455
1% Trade →
#24 Desire Doue
Desire Doue ▼ -0.3%
Vol $41K · 24h $486
1% Trade →
#25 Bukayo Saka
Bukayo Saka ▲ +0.1%
Vol $45K · Liq $48K
1% Trade →
#26 Bruno Fernandes
Bruno Fernandes ▼ -0.5%
Vol $25K · 24h $6K
1% Trade →
#27 Heung-Min Son
Heung-Min Son
Vol $8K · 24h $500
1% Trade →
#28 Edin Džeko
Edin Džeko ▼ -0.5%
Vol $61K · Liq $35K
1% Trade →
#29 Marcus Thuram
Marcus Thuram ▼ -0.9%
Vol $57K · 24h $909
1% Trade →
#30 Dani Olmo
Dani Olmo
Vol $48K · 24h $4K
1% Trade →
#31 Scott McTominay
Scott McTominay
Vol $58K · 24h $200
0% Trade →
#32 Mohamed Salah
Mohamed Salah
Vol $44K · 24h $367
0% Trade →
#33 Sadio Mane
Sadio Mane ▼ -0.1%
Vol $27K · 24h $143
0% Trade →
#34 Rafael Leao
Rafael Leao
Vol $40K · 24h $1K
0% Trade →
#35 Antoine Semenyo
Antoine Semenyo
Vol $57K · Liq $29K
0% Trade →
#36 Bradley Barcola
Bradley Barcola
Vol $22K · Liq $66K
0% Trade →
#37 Pedri
Pedri ▼ -0.1%
Vol $49K · Liq $37K
0% Trade →
#38 Ivan Perišić
Ivan Perišić
Vol $44K · Liq $36K
0% Trade →
#39 Amad Diallo
Amad Diallo
Vol $75K · 24h $3K
0% Trade →
#40 Noah Okafor
Noah Okafor ▼ -0.3%
Vol $41K · 24h $5K
0% Trade →
#41 Rodrygo
Rodrygo
Vol $89K · 24h $3K
0% Trade →
#42 Andrej Kramarić
Andrej Kramarić ▼ -0.1%
Vol $34K · 24h $800
0% Trade →
#43 Serge Gnabry
Serge Gnabry
Vol $69K · 24h $1K
0% Trade →
#44 Dion Beljo
Dion Beljo
Vol $11K · Liq $82K
0% Trade →
#45 Player Q
Player Q
0% Trade →
#46 Player W
Player W
0% Trade →
#47 Player Y
Player Y
0% Trade →
#48 Player B
Player B
0% Trade →
#49 Player D
Player D
0% Trade →
#50 Player F
Player F
0% Trade →
#51 Player H
Player H
0% Trade →
#52 Player J
Player J
0% Trade →
#53 Player L
Player L
0% Trade →
#54 Player N
Player N
0% Trade →
#55 Player P
Player P
0% Trade →
#56 Player R
Player R
0% Trade →
#57 Player T
Player T
0% Trade →
#58 Player X
Player X
0% Trade →
#59 Player Z
Player Z
0% Trade →
#60 Player AD
Player AD
0% Trade →
#61 Player AF
Player AF
0% Trade →
#62 Player AH
Player AH
0% Trade →
#63 Other
Other
0% Trade →
#64 Player A
Player A
0% Trade →
#65 Player C
Player C
0% Trade →
#66 Player E
Player E
0% Trade →
#67 Player G
Player G
0% Trade →
#68 Player I
Player I
0% Trade →
#69 Player K
Player K
0% Trade →
#70 Player M
Player M
0% Trade →
#71 Player O
Player O
0% Trade →
#72 Player S
Player S
0% Trade →
#73 Player U
Player U
0% Trade →
#74 Player V
Player V
0% Trade →
#75 Player AB
Player AB
0% Trade →
#76 Player AG
Player AG
0% Trade →
#77 Player AI
Player AI
0% Trade →
#78 Player AA
Player AA
0% Trade →
#79 Player AC
Player AC
0% Trade →
#80 Player AE
Player AE
0% Trade →

Market context

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026

Wikipedia Context

  • World cup
    World cup

    A world cup is a global sporting competition in which the participant entities – usually international teams or individuals representing their countries – compete for the title of world champion. The event most associated with the name is the FIFA World Cup for association football, which dates back to 1930. Since then there have been a number of sporting ev

  • 2016 World Cup of Hockey

    The 2016 World Cup of Hockey was an international ice hockey tournament. It was the third installment of the National Hockey League (NHL)-sanctioned competition, 12 years after the second World Cup of Hockey in 2004. It was held from September 17 to September 29 at Air Canada Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Canada won the championship, defeating Team Europe in t

  • 1996 World Cup of Hockey

    The first World Cup of Hockey (WCH), or the 1996 World Cup of Hockey, was the inaugural edition of the event, replacing the Canada Cup as one of the world championships of ice hockey.

  • 2028 World Cup of Hockey

    The 2028 World Cup of Hockey will be the fourth installment of the World Cup of Hockey by the National Hockey League. It will be played in February 2028 with 17 games in three host cities. The competition will include eight teams from individual countries in North America and Europe.

Methodology

This page reviews World Cup: Golden Boot Winner across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

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