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Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery Set 2 Winner 100% Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery Match O/U 21.5 100% Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery Match O/U 22.5 100% Volume: $428K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket App UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery Set 2 Winner100%
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery Match O/U 21.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery Match O/U 22.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery Match O/U 23.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery100%
Completed Match100%
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery Set 1 Winner0%
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to wimbledon wta: jasmine paolini vs robin montgomery. This market refers to the tennis match between Jasmine Paolini and Robin Montgomery in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Pao…

Methodology

We track Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket App UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery on Polymarket App UK

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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets