Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilagan

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Karl Poling and Andre Ilagan are scheduled to compete in a professional tennis match in Tyler on 6 June 2026 at 12:30PM ET. The market settles on whether Poling advances past Ilagan, with a 7-day grace period for delays and a 50-50 resolution if the match does not reach completion. Current pricing at 0% YES reflects either extremely low confidence in Poling's prospects or minimal trading activity; neither scenario provides reliable signal about the underlying matchup.

Historical ATP Challenger and ITF circuit data suggests that markets on lower-tier professional tennis matches often remain illiquid until 48–72 hours before play, at which point injury reports and surface-condition updates typically drive repricing. Comparable Tyler events have seen late movement when players withdraw due to travel logistics or minor injuries sustained in preceding matches. The 0% reading should be interpreted as a liquidity void rather than certainty; automated trading systems monitoring these markets often require minimum depth thresholds before executing conditional orders.

Traders building systematic approaches to this market should monitor the ATP and ITF official schedules for any reschedules or cancellations, track both players' recent match results for fatigue patterns, and set alerts for withdrawal announcements within 48 hours of the scheduled start. Surface type—clay, hard court, or grass—will significantly influence head-to-head dynamics and should be confirmed against the Tyler venue specifications. Conditional order logic can be structured to execute only if the match remains scheduled and both players confirm participation by 4 June.

Methodology

This page reviews Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilagan across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket App UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.