Highest temperature in NYC on June 6?

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Active sub-markets

Market context

On 6 June 2026, the highest temperature recorded at LaGuardia Airport will fall into one of several defined ranges. The settlement mechanism relies on historical weather data from Weather Underground, which archives daily temperature records for the airport's official monitoring station. This market requires precise data retrieval—traders automating resolution checks should note that the platform's API returns temperatures in either Fahrenheit or Celsius depending on user settings, necessitating consistent unit handling in conditional order logic.

New York City's June temperatures typically range between 75–85°F, with historical June 6th highs clustering around 78–82°F based on thirty-year normals. The 0% implied probability across all ranges suggests either a technical issue with market initialisation or that traders have not yet engaged with this specific date-location combination. Comparable single-day temperature markets in the Northeast show meaningful probability distribution once seasonal baselines are established; the absence of any probability mass here warrants verification of market parameters before deploying automated monitoring systems.

Traders building conditional workflows should integrate NOAA's extended forecast data, which typically becomes reliable five to seven days before the settlement date. The National Weather Service issues updated forecasts for the New York area continuously; tracking the progression from the current ensemble models through to the final 48-hour deterministic forecast will reveal whether atmospheric patterns favour above or below-normal temperatures for early June. Weather Underground's historical archive updates daily, so automated resolution scripts should query after 23:59 UTC on 6 June to capture the complete daily record.

Methodology

This page reviews Highest temperature in NYC on June 6? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket App UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?

Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.