Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Walczaki (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group B

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Upper bracket semifinal 2 Counter-Strike 2 match between Esport Academy Copenhagen and Walczaki in the Super DraculaN Group B, originally set for 8:00 AM ET on 24 June 2026. Current form data shows Walczaki has won four of their last five matches, while Esport Academy Copenhagen has won only two of their last five, with a win rate of just 25% across eight played matches[1][4]. This historical disparity frames the current crowd-implied probability of 0% YES for Esport Academy Copenhagen, mirroring past cases where a team with a 25% win rate faced a dominant opponent in a BO3, resulting in swift 0–2 defeats[1].

Traders approaching this programmatically should monitor real-time score feeds and roster dependencies, as any cancellation or delay beyond seven days triggers a 50–50 resolution[2]. The primary catalyst is the match outcome itself, but conditional orders must account for Walczaki’s recent dominance in the European Pro League Series 7, where they secured victories against KOLESIE[5]. Recent coverage confirms Walczaki’s momentum, noting their 4–1 record in the last five games as the key driver for the zero-probability assessment[1]. Programmatic strategies should integrate live score APIs to execute conditional trades if the match status shifts unexpectedly, ensuring exposure is managed before the settlement window closes on 24 June 2026 at 15:00:00Z[2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Walczaki (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group B on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?

Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.