Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is a Counter-Strike 2 quarterfinal match between FOKUS and CYBERSHOKE Esports, scheduled for 5:00 AM ET on 20 June 2026 within the Stake Ranked Episode 3 Closed Qualifier Playoffs. Bookmakers and verified outcome sources from HLTLV and Gamers World confirm FOKUS as the winner, aligning with the crowd-implied 100% probability for the "FOKUS" resolution[1][2].

Historically, 100% crowd probabilities in esports qualifiers often signal either a completed match or an overwhelming pre-match consensus where one side dominates the odds board; in this case, the outcome has already been verified as FOKUS, making the market a settled utility rather than a speculative bet[1]. Programmatic traders would treat this as a conditional order execution where the settlement is deterministic, bypassing standard volatility filters used for live matches.

Traders should monitor official Stake Ranked tournament announcements for any schedule dependencies or cancellation clauses, though current data confirms the match occurred and concluded with FOKUS victorious[2]. No recent news indicates delays or cancellations, and the settlement window ending 2026-06-20T15:00:00Z reflects the finality of the result[1]. For conditional order bots, this market represents a low-risk, high-certainty execution where the payout is guaranteed upon verification.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?

Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.